nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) Reports Strong Q2, Stock Soars

Banking software provider nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) announced better-than-expected revenue in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 12.4% year on year to $148.8 million. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was better than expected at $147 million at the midpoint, 0.8% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.22 per share was 58.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy nCino? Find out in our full research report.

Revenue: $148.8 million vs analyst estimates of $143.2 million (12.4% year-on-year growth, 3.9% beat)

Adjusted EPS: $0.22 vs analyst estimates of $0.14 (58.1% beat)

Adjusted Operating Income: $30.01 million vs analyst estimates of $24.12 million (20.2% margin, 24.4% beat)

The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $587 million at the midpoint from $580.5 million, a 1.1% increase

Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $0.79 at the midpoint, a 11.3% increase

Operating Margin: -6.2%, in line with the same quarter last year

Free Cash Flow Margin: 8.5%, down from 36.5% in the previous quarter

Market Capitalization: $3.27 billion

"We are pleased to report financial results that again exceeded quarterly guidance for total and subscription revenues, as well as non-GAAP operating income," said Sean Desmond, CEO at nCino.

Born from the internal technology needs of a community bank in 2011, nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) provides cloud-based software that helps financial institutions streamline client onboarding, loan origination, and account opening processes.

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last three years, nCino grew its sales at a 19.1% compounded annual growth rate. Although this growth is acceptable on an absolute basis, it fell slightly short of our standards for the software sector, which enjoys a number of secular tailwinds.

This quarter, nCino reported year-on-year revenue growth of 12.4%, and its $148.8 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 3.9%. Company management is currently guiding for a 5.9% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 4.9% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last three years. This projection is underwhelming and suggests its products and services will face some demand challenges.

Today’s young investors likely haven’t read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

The customer acquisition cost (CAC) payback period represents the months required to recover the cost of acquiring a new customer. Essentially, it’s the break-even point for sales and marketing investments. A shorter CAC payback period is ideal, as it implies better returns on investment and business scalability.

nCino does a decent job acquiring new customers, and its CAC payback period checked in at 44.7 months this quarter. The company’s relatively fast recovery of its customer acquisition costs gives it the option to accelerate growth by increasing its sales and marketing investments.

We were impressed by nCino’s optimistic EPS guidance for next quarter, which blew past analysts’ expectations. We were also glad its full-year EPS guidance trumped Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this was a solid print. The stock traded up 5.5% to $30.25 immediately after reporting.

Indeed, nCino had a rock-solid quarterly earnings result, but is this stock a good investment here? We think that the latest quarter is just one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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