Stock market today: S&P 500 tops 6,600, Nasdaq extends record streak as Fed decision nears
US stocks touched new highs on Monday as US-China trade talks unfolded in Madrid and investors awaited a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting later this week.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose nearly 0.5% to close above 6,600 for the first time. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) jumped roughly 0.9% to notch its sixth consecutive record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) edged up more than 0.1%.
The major US stock indexes are coming off a strong week in which the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 saw their best weekly showings since early August, while the Dow snapped a two-week losing streak.
Investors are looking ahead to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting Wednesday, with traders pricing in a 96% chance of a quarter-point reduction and 4% odds of a jumbo rate cut as of Monday midday.
An easing could provide another tailwind for stocks, particularly as AI enthusiasm continues to drive market sentiment. Traders will also be watching whether Stephen Miran is sworn in as a Fed governor in time to participate in this week’s FOMC vote.
Meanwhile, US and Chinese officials also met for another round of high-stakes trade talks in Madrid on Monday amid their ongoing trade war.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the countries agreed on a framework for a TikTok deal ahead of a US ban set to go into effect Sept. 17. Shares of Oracle (ORCL), the software giant that is reportedly a contender to buy the social media app, jumped.
Elsewhere, Nvidia's (NVDA) stock fell fractionally, appearing to shake off news that a preliminary probe in China found the AI chipmaker had violated the country's antitrust laws.
Tesla (TSLA) stock jumped more than 3% to turn positive for the year after news broke that CEO Elon Musk had purchased $1 billion worth of shares.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose nearly 0.5% to top 6,600 on Monday while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched its sixth consecutive record amid China-US trade talks and investor focus on the Federal Reserve policy meeting this week.
The tech-heavy index gained more than 0.9%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) edged up 0.1%.
Tesla (TSLA) stock rose more than 3%, wiping out year-to-date losses after CEO Elon Musk purchased $1 billion worth of shares of the EV maker.
Meanwhile, Oracle (ORCL) stock ticked higher as the US and China reached a preliminary TikTok deal during trade talks in Madrid.
The 30-year Treasury yield (^TYX) fell about 3 basis points to 4.65% after rising to nearly touch 5% earlier this month. The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) fell over 2 basis points to roughly 4.03%.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) trimmed losses on Monday to trade above $115,500 after the cryptocurrency saw its biggest gain in two months last week.
The world's largest cryptocurrency is up roughly 23% year to date.
September tends to be a seasonally weak month for bitcoin while altcoins play catch-up.
Ethereum (ETH-USD) fell more than 1% on Monday, to hover near $4,500 per token, while solana (SOL-USD) sank 4% and XRP (XRP-USD) remained relatively unchanged.
\\"While Ethereum and Solana hold key levels, September could mark the inflexion point where altcoins finally step into the spotlight if Bitcoin continues to consolidate,\\" said Leo Zhao, investment director at MEXC Ventures.
Gold prices (GC=F) surged nearly 1% to hover at all-time highs as the US dollar eased ahead of this week's highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision.
Futures surged above $3,700 per troy ounce as investors expect policymakers to ease rates by at least 25 basis points this Wednesday. A lower interest rate environment makes the precious metal more attractive to investors against yield-bearing assets.
An easing greenback has also been supportive of the metal this year, which is priced in dollars. Gold has gained more than 40% year to date, outperforming the S&P 500's (^GSPC) 12% gain during the same period.
Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports:
Labubu mania propelled Pop Mart's (9992.HK) stock to new heights, but gravity may be catching up.
The toy company's \\"risk/reward profile [looks] less favorable,\\" Kevin Yin, head of Asia consumer research at JPMorgan, wrote in a note to clients, adding, \\"We believe the valuation is priced for perfection.\\"
Pop Mart shares have soared 184% year to date and a staggering 427% over the past year, far outpacing the Hang Seng Index's (^HSI) 35% and 52% gains. However, it sank over 6% on Monday in Hong Kong trading and dropped 10% over the past five trading days.
JPMorgan cut its rating on the stock from Overweight to Neutral and slashed its price target to HK$300 from HK$400.
The problem isn't that Labubu's brand is collapsing. Yin notes that sales momentum remains \\"solid,\\" even as resale prices and Google (GOOG) search interest have cooled. Instead, the issue is that investors have already bid up shares as if every future hit is guaranteed.
Read the full story here.
Yahoo Finance's David Hollerith reports:
Bank of America (BAC) has elevated three of CEO Brian Moynihan's lieutenants, clarifying who at the company has the best shot at running the nation's second-largest lender once Moynihan steps down.
The moves came late Friday, when the Charlotte, N.C.-based bank named Dean Athanasia and Jim DeMare as co-presidents and promoted CFO Alastair Borthwick to senior vice president.
Athanasia leads the company's retail and commercial banking units. DeMare is in charge of its global markets business.
\\"This creates a horse race among three highly respected executives to become the next CEO,\\" Mike Mayo, banking analyst for Wells Fargo, told Yahoo Finance.
Read the full story here.
Shares in EV maker Tesla (TSLA) and Google-parent Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG) soared around 6% and 4% in midday trading, respectively, leading gains in the \\"Magnificent Seven\\" Big Tech stocks.
Tesla's gain helped it wipe out its 2025 losses and turn positive for the year, while Alphabet's market capitalization crossed $3 trillion.
Other tech stocks posted milder gains.
Amazon (AMZN) rose nearly 2%, while Meta (META) jumped more than 1%. Nvidia (NVDA) was roughly flat, shaking off news earlier in the morning that a preliminary investigation by the Chinese government found the AI chipmaker violated the country's antitrust laws.
Treasury yields fell slightly Monday as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting Wednesday.
The 30-year Treasury yield (^TYX) fell about 3 basis points to 4.65% after rising to nearly touch 5% earlier this month. The 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) fell over 2 basis points to roughly 4.04%.
The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates at its September meeting, with traders on Monday pricing in a 96% chance of a 25 basis point cut and 4% odds of a 50 basis point easing, according to CME Group.
Yahoo Finance's Myles Udland reports:
President Trump on Monday floated what to many in corporate America would be a welcome surprise — an end to the onerous cycle of preparing quarterly earnings.
In a post on Truth Social, Trump's social media platform, the president said companies should only be required to report financial results every six months, moving away from the quarterly reporting rhythm that defines the corporate calendar.
\\"Subject to SEC Approval, Companies and Corporations should no longer be forced to 'Report' on a quarterly basis (Quarterly Reporting!), but rather to Report on a 'Six (6) Month Basis,'\\" Trump wrote.
\\"This will save money, and allow managers to focus on properly running their companies,\\" he added. \\"Did you ever hear the statement that, 'China has a 50 to 100 year view on management of a company, whereas we run our companies on a quarterly basis???' Not good!!!\\"
Financial reporting standards vary across international markets. US stock exchanges require public companies to report financials each quarter, while most exchanges in Europe require these reports only twice a year.
Read the full story here.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) fell nearly 1% Monday to trade around 114,650 after the cryptocurrency last week saw its biggest gain in two months.
Bitcoin is up 23% for the year.
Other cryptocurrencies also dropped Monday after a day of big gains last Friday. Ethereum (ETH-USD) fell 2.3%, Solana (SOL-USD) sank 4%, and XRP (XRP-USD) dipped fractionally.
The moves come ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting Wednesday, where investors are all but certain the central bank will cut interest rates.
Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG) shares rose 3.6% Monday and touched an all-time high above $251.
The stock's gain comes as Citi (C) analyst Ron Josey lifted his price target on shares to $280 from $225, citing the tech giant's \\"accelerated product development cycle\\" given \\"greater Gemini adoption across both its Ads and Cloud businesses, according to Bloomberg.\\" Gemini refers to Google's suite of AI models.
The stocmoves sent Alphabet's market capitalization past $3 trillion for the first time.
Manufacturing activity in the New York Fed's region fell sharply in September.
The NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey showed the general business conditions index this month fell to -8.7 from 11.9 in August. This marked a retreat after two straight months of positive readings.
The index is calculated by taking the differential between those reporting better conditions and those reporting worse conditions; a little under half of the respondents to September's survey reported no change.
The headline retreat in conditions was driven by a sharp pullback in new orders and shipments, with both sub-indexes falling to their lowest levels since April 2024.
Some optimism remained about the outlook, however, with the index for future conditions coming in at 14.8 in September, roughly unchanged from the prior month.
US stocks climbed on Monday ahead of a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting later this week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) edged up 0.2% near the 46,000 level, which it crossed last week for the first time. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.3%.
Meanwhile the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the way and gained 0.45%, with Tesla (TSLA) stock rising as CEO Elon Musk purchased $1 billion worth of shares and Oracle (ORCL) climbing on hints of a US-China TikTok deal.
Oracle shares rose roughly 5% before the market open on Monday as President Trump hinted that the US and China had reached a TikTok deal during trade talks in Madrid.
Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social: \\"The big Trade Meeting in Europe between The United States of America, and China, has gone VERY WELL! It will be concluding shortly. A deal was also reached on a “certain” company that young people in our Country very much wanted to save.\\"
That post came after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters outright that the US and China were \\"very close\\" to a TikTok deal.
ByteDance-owned TikTok faces a US ban unless it divests its ownership to a US- or US-allied country by Sept. 17.
Politico reported in March that the White House was considering a deal from Oracle to run TikTok. Others who've expressed interest in buying the social media company have included a group of investors led by billionaire Frank McCourt Jr., Microsoft (MSFT), YouTuber Mr. Beast, and Perplexity AI.
Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk has responded to an unprecedented pay proposal from the company's board by buying $1 billion worth of Tesla shares, sending the EV makers stock up by 7% in premarket trading on Monday.
Bloomberg News reports:
The billionaire bought the stock indirectly through a revocable trust on Sept. 12, according to a regulatory filing released Monday. The purchases coincided with Tesla Chair Robyn Denholm speaking with Bloomberg News about the merits of a pay package for Musk that could be worth upwards of $1 trillion if the company achieves a series of ambitious market value and performance milestones.
Musk, 54, last bought Tesla stock in the open market in February 2020, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. He offloaded more than $20 billion of the company’s shares in 2022, the year he acquired Twitter.
Read more here.
Stocks notched further record highs last week as investors bet the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at the end of its meeting on Wednesday.
Markets are pricing in 100% odds of a rate cut, with the vast majority forecasting a reduction of 25 basis points. The debate now is how many more cuts are likely in 2025 — and whether the Fed just might go for a bigger move of 50 basis points.
Count President Trump in the jumbo-cut camp, going by his remarks to reporters on Sunday.
“I think you have a big cut,” Trump said on his way back to Washington. “It’s perfect for cutting.”
The Fed's call could determine whether the rally in stocks has room to run. That makes it pivotal for markets.
Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal and Jake Conley spell out what to watch:
Alongside its policy decision, the Fed will release its quarterly \\"dot plot\\" — a snapshot of policymakers' projections for the path of interest rates.
In June, officials penciled in two rate cuts for 2025, although the forecasts revealed a more divided committee. Seven members saw no cuts at all, compared with four in March. Powell acknowledged the divergence at the time, stressing that \\"right now it's just a forecast in a very foggy time.\\"
Investors will be looking for more clarity this week, but the backdrop isn't straightforward.
Tariffs are increasingly feeding into inflation after US customs duties surged to a record $29.5 billion in August following President Trump's new \\"reciprocal\\" levies. ... At the same time, labor market weakness has become harder to ignore.
Read more here.
Economic data: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (September)
Earnings calendar: Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY)
Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning:
China finds Nvidia broke antitrust law
The Fed is set for its first 2025 cut. But will it keep going?
Fed rate decision dominates pivotal week for markets
BYD's $45 billion stock wipeout raises doubts on China outlook
Wall Street strategists see stock rally stalling on Fed rate cut
A key market data point is signaling fear about America's economy
Trump expects a 'big cut' from Federal Reserve this week
Intel lowers full-year expense target
Here's a look at some of the top stocks trending in premarket trading:
Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) stock fell 2% before the bell on Monday following reports last week that Paramount Skydance (PSKY) is preparing a majority-cash bid for the media conglomerate.
Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) stock dropped 3% in premarket trading following news over the weekend that China said it was launching an anti-dumping investigation targeting a type of semiconductor made by US companies including Texas Instruments Inc.
Google parent company, Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) stock rose 1% before the bell on Monday. On Sunday, Tech Crunch reported that Rolling Stone owner Penske Media was planning to sue Google over AI summaries.
China said a preliminary investigation found that Nvidia (NVDA) has violated its antitrust laws on Monday.
The country's market regulator will continue its anti-monopoly probe, it said in a statement.
Shares in Nvidia fell about 2.2% in premarket on the heels of the news.
The move will ratchet up pressure on Washington, whose negotiators are headed into a second day of sensitive talks with China.
Bloomberg reports:
The company has previously disclosed it’s facing scrutiny inside China, where regulators demanded it keep supplying local companies in return for regulatory approval of its acquisition of Mellanox. The company warned that it may face penalties in that case. Nvidia completed the purchase of Mellanox, a maker of networking technology, in 2020.
Bloomberg reports:
Bullion traded near $3,640 an ounce, after gaining for four consecutive weeks. Traders see a quarter-point cut this week amid signs of labor market weakness, and some potential for reductions extending into next year.
That expectation has driven Treasury yields to the lowest in months, weakened the greenback and supported gold. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost for holding the metal, while a weaker dollar makes it more affordable. Whether the central bank will challenge these bets is a key question for investors this week.
“Macroeconomic numbers are likely to take over from tariff-related headlines,” ANZ Group Holdings’ Daniel Hynes and Soni Kumari said in a note, meaning that investors are watching how US tariffs will impact the nation’s economic growth and inflation data.
Bullion has rallied nearly 40% this year, and recently broke out a spell of range-bound trading to surpass an inflation-adjusted record. Persistent uncertainty over geopolitics and Trump’s tariff agenda, and concerted central bank buying have provided support.