1 Industrials Stock for Long-Term Investors and 2 We Brush Off
Even if they go mostly unnoticed, industrial businesses are the backbone of our country. They are also bound to benefit from a friendlier regulatory environment with the Trump administration, and this excitement has led to a six-month gain of 23.5% for the sector - higher than the S&P 500’s 17.5% return.
Regardless of these results, investors should tread carefully. The diversity of companies in this space means that not all are created equal or well-positioned for the inescapable downturn. Taking that into account, here is one resilient industrials stock at the top of our wish list and two we’re passing on.
Market Cap: $229.1 million
Founded in 1984, Alta Equipment Group (NYSE:ALTG) is a provider of industrial and construction equipment and services across the Midwest and Northeast United States.
Why Do We Avoid ALTG?
3.7% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its industrials peers
Cash-burning history makes us doubt the long-term viability of its business model
High net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5× could force the company to raise capital at unfavorable terms if market conditions deteriorate
At $7.15 per share, Alta trades at 1.3x forward EV-to-EBITDA. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than ALTG.
Market Cap: $12.1 billion
With an iconic “STANLEY” logo which has remained virtually unchanged for over a century, Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE:SWK) is a manufacturer primarily catering to the tool and outdoor equipment industry.
Why Do We Think SWK Will Underperform?
Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
Earnings per share fell by 8.6% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
10.5 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
Stanley Black & Decker is trading at $78.18 per share, or 13.7x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including SWK in your portfolio, it’s free.
Market Cap: $5.39 billion
Founded by a small group of engineers who wanted to build a more efficient way to read utility meters, Itron (NASDAQ:ITRI) offers energy and water management products for the utility industry, municipalities, and industrial customers.
Why Do We Like ITRI?
Operating margin improved by 10.3 percentage points over the last five years as it eliminated redundant costs
Incremental sales significantly boosted profitability as its annual earnings per share growth of 74.4% over the last two years outstripped its revenue performance
Historical investments are beginning to pay off as its returns on capital are growing
Itron’s stock price of $117.75 implies a valuation ratio of 21.6x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.
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