Marshalls' (LON:MSLH) Dividend Will Be Reduced To £0.022

The board of Marshalls plc (LON:MSLH) has announced it will be reducing its dividend by 15% from last year's payment of £0.026 on the 1st of December, with shareholders receiving £0.022. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 4.6% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Marshalls' stock price has reduced by 34% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

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Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Before this announcement, Marshalls was paying out 81% of earnings, but a comparatively small 65% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 85.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 45%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

Check out our latest analysis for Marshalls

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was £0.06, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.08. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 2.9% over that duration. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's encouraging to see that Marshalls has been growing its earnings per share at 6.3% a year over the past five years. EPS has been growing at a reasonable rate, although with most of the profits being paid out to shareholders, growth prospects could be more limited in the future.

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Marshalls that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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