Take-Two (NASDAQ:TTWO) Posts Better-Than-Expected Sales In Q4 CY2025
Video game publisher Take Two (NASDAQ:TTWO) reported Q4 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations , with sales up 24.9% year on year to $1.70 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.60 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 5.2% above what analysts were expecting. Its GAAP loss of $0.50 per share was 28.6% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Revenue: $1.70 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.58 billion (24.9% year-on-year growth, 7.5% beat)
EPS (GAAP): -$0.50 vs analyst expectations of -$0.39 (28.6% miss)
Adjusted EBITDA: $174.8 million vs analyst estimates of $250.4 million (10.3% margin, 30.2% miss)
Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $1.60 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.52 billion
EPS (GAAP) guidance for the full year is -$1.92 at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
EBITDA guidance for the full year is $669 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.01 billion
Operating Margin: -2.3%, up from -9.7% in the same quarter last year
Free Cash Flow Margin: 13.9%, up from 5.4% in the previous quarter
Market Capitalization: $40.99 billion
Strauss Zelnick, Chairman and CEO of Take-Two Interactive, stated: “Our outstanding third quarter results reflect outperformance from all of our labels, and we are once again raising our Net Bookings outlook for Fiscal 2026. With ongoing momentum across many of our businesses, and the highly anticipated launch of Grand Theft Auto VI on November 19th, we continue to project record levels of Net Bookings in Fiscal 2027, which we believe will establish a new financial baseline for our business, set us on a path to enhanced profitability, and provide further balance sheet strength and flexibility.”
Best known for its Grand Theft Auto and NBA 2K franchises, Take Two (NASDAQ:TTWO) is one of the world’s largest video game publishers.
Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Thankfully, Take-Two’s 10.7% annualized revenue growth over the last three years was decent. Its growth was slightly above the average consumer internet company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.
This quarter, Take-Two reported robust year-on-year revenue growth of 24.9%, and its $1.70 billion of revenue topped Wall Street estimates by 7.5%. Company management is currently guiding for flat sales next quarter.
Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 27.9% over the next 12 months, an acceleration versus the last three years. This projection is eye-popping and suggests its newer products and services will spur better top-line performance.
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If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
Take-Two broke even from a free cash flow perspective over the last two years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. The divergence from its good EBITDA margin stems from its capital-intensive business model, which requires Take-Two to make large cash investments in working capital (i.e., stocking inventories) and capital expenditures (i.e., building new facilities).
Taking a step back, an encouraging sign is that Take-Two’s margin expanded by 5.1 percentage points over the last few years. The company’s improvement shows it’s heading in the right direction, and we can see it became a less capital-intensive business because its free cash flow profitability rose while its operating profitability fell.
Take-Two’s free cash flow clocked in at $236.2 million in Q4, equivalent to a 13.9% margin. Its cash flow turned positive after being negative in the same quarter last year, building on its favorable historical trend.
It was great to see Take-Two’s revenue guidance for next quarter top analysts’ expectations. We were also glad its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its full-year EBITDA guidance missed and its EBITDA fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a softer quarter. The stock traded up 3.9% to $220.45 immediately following the results.
So should you invest in Take-Two right now? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.