Stock market today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq rise as CPI inflation cools, but weekly losses loom
US stocks climbed on Friday but remained on track for weekly losses as Wall Street digested a cooler-than-expected inflation reading for a steer on the path of interest rates.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) led the way up with a gain of roughly 0.5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) picked up roughly 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively.
Inflation cooled more than expected in January, data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed. The Consumer Price Index showed that consumer prices increased 0.2% in January from a month earlier, and 2.4% on an annual basis.
The report is likely to shape expectations for an already complicated Federal Reserve policy. Traders revived some bets on a June cut, with a majority expecting a quarter-point reduction that month. Most bets remain on two cuts by the end of 2026, though a larger percentage of traders is now betting on more reductions.
The moves came after a day of heavy selling as fears about AI disruption spilled into sectors such as real estate, logistics, and transportation — "old economy" names previously seen as a safe alternative to AI-tied stocks. Techs got pummeled, with all seven of the "Magnificent Seven" megacaps finishing lower. The sell-off has set the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq for sharp weekly losses.
Investors are also scrutinizing the latest earnings for the next "shoot first, ask questions later" AI scare. Applied Materials (AMAT) stock surged as much as 10% chip toolmaker's upbeat outlook mirrored robust AI demand. But Pinterest (PINS) shares tumbled as much as 20% as revenue fell short and analysts fretted about AI risks to its discovery platform.
Elsewhere on the earnings front, Rivian (RIVN) shares soared by more than 25% following its fourth quarter earnings beat late Thursday. The EV maker said its R2 midsize model is on track for delivery before the summer. Moderna (MRNA) shares surged 10% after it topped quarterly revenue estimates thanks to resilient sales of its Covid shot.
Nvidia (NVDA) shares are off by over 1% today, even as the broader market rebounds after yesterday's tech-driven sell-off.
Bloomberg notes this is part of a recent trend of stagnation for Nvidia, whose shares have remained fairly range-bound since hitting an all-time high last October. (Shares are down around 1% for the year. That is happening despite Big Tech's plans to balloon capital expenditures for AI build-outs — with Nvidia poised to be one of the main beneficiaries of that spending.
“There is perhaps growing concern that the ultimate revenue from AI will simply not keep up with the capex spend that’s been announced,” said JoAnne Feeney at Advisors Capital Management, adding that more spending now raises the probability that the market will reach satiation faster. It’s “going to move up the date at which they pause and let the new compute be digested.”
The cyclical nature of the chip industry is baked into Nvidia’s valuation, which has compressed as revenue growth is expected to slow in the coming years. Sales are projected to expand 58% in the current calendar year and 28% in 2027, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Nvidia shares trade around 24 times profit estimates, roughly in-line with the Nasdaq 100 index and a slight premium to the S&P 500. Even though this price-to-earnings ratio is far below the five-year average for the stock at 38 times, investors aren’t counting it as a discount.
Valuations for infrastructure providers like Nvidia are likely to move lower as growth in capital spending decelerates, according to UBS strategists led by Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi.
“Capex growth is likely to moderate from these levels, which could improve investor perceptions of those doing the spending, but is a potential negative for some companies in the enabling layer,” they wrote in a note dated Feb. 10.
Nvidia reports earnings on Feb. 25.
Read more.
After Coinbase reported its second-worst quarterly net loss ever, at $667 million, CEO Brian Armstrong attempted to ease investor and analyst concerns on the company's fourth quarter earnings call.
Our David Hollerith reports:
Coinbase Global (COIN) CEO Brian Armstrong sought to ease investor worries amid a major slide across the crypto markets and a brawl in Washington, D.C., that has dimmed hopes for another piece of landmark legislation to pass through Congress.
\\"We've been through cycles like this many times at Coinbase, and adoption continues to grow. Regulatory clarity is on the horizon, and I'm more bullish than ever,” Armstrong said on the company's earnings call on Thursday.
Armstrong's comments came after Coinbase reported its second-worst quarterly net loss ever, $667 million, due to a $718 million paper loss on its crypto investment portfolio. Excluding swings in its crypto holdings, Coinbase reported adjusted EBITDA of $566 million, a 56% drop compared to the prior year and $89 million below Wall Street forecasts. Coinbase's net revenue tallied $1.7 billion, down $487 million from the same period a year ago.
\\"There are opportunities in every market, whether it's up and down,\\" Armstrong added, noting the company had benefited from previous crypto downturns.
Coinbase stock rose as much as 9% on Friday morning following the results.
Read more here.
Rivals duking it out for AI supremacy is the story of the tech world. But it's increasingly becoming a key narrative in American politics, too.
Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban writes:
Instead of posturing for space on your phone's homescreen, OpenAI and Anthropic are squaring up for the US midterm elections, wielding their capital to bolster political action committees that back their preferred AI policies.
Anthropic (ANTH.PVT), the $380 billion-valued company behind the large language model Claude, and which bills itself as the AI startup preoccupied with safety and responsibility, said it was giving $20 million to a new super-PAC operation that stands in opposition to political groups aligned with OpenAI leaders and investors.
The move is a response to the creation of a new network of pro-AI fundraising and lobbying, helmed by Silicon Valley luminaries that include OpenAI president Greg Brockman.
Where the leaders of the ChatGPT maker are pushing for a hands-off approach to AI regulation, emphasizing the need for American competitiveness and innovation, Anthropic advocates for AI safety.
The competing visions are playing out in their products, but also in public policy debates and financial support for candidates who back their respective agendas. In broad terms, Anthropic and its leaders are agitating for more rules, while OpenAI's leadership and allies want fewer.
Read more here in the takeaway from today's Morning Brief.
Shares in Rivian (RIVN), Moderna (MRNA), and Applied Materials (AMAT) all surged upward with double-digit increases on Friday after strong earnings reports, while shares in Pinterest (PINS) plunged.
EV maker Rivian jumped more than 20% through Friday morning trading after the company reported a strong fourth quarter earnings beat late Thursday. Rivian executives said the EV maker's R2 midsize model is on track for delivery before the summer.
Meanwhile, Moderna shares gained 10% after the drugmaker topped quarterly revenue estimates thanks to resilient sales of its COVID shot. While the company had been struggling to find profit as demand for shots has fallen, Moderna reaffirmed its expectation of 10% revenue growth in 2026 and solidly beat analyst estimates for top-line revenue.
Applied Materials stock gained more than 11% as beats on revenue and adjusted EPS complemented strong demand forecasts for the company's semiconductor equipment. Semiconductors are a key component of AI technology, fueling bets that Applied Materials will see continued strength.
In a showing that the AI trade cuts both ways, Pinterest saw its shares plunge by more than 20% as analysts evaluated the possibility for disruption by AI advancements. The company also missed analyst expectations on the top and bottom lines.
Consumer energy prices largely fell in January, according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday, moving in line with a broader oil market that had until January been falling.
Headline energy costs, one of the more volatile categories in the Consumer Price Index, fell 1.5% in January from the previous month and ticked down 0.1% from the previous year. (Energy prices are excluded from the \\"core\\" CPI reading due to their volatility.)
Energy commodities saw the largest move downward on both a monthly and yearly basis, with gasoline prices dropping by 3.2% month-on-month and fuel oil prices dropping by 5.7%, according to BLS data. On a yearly basis, gasoline prices have fallen by 7.5% since last January.
While the price of gasoline is one component of the price paid by consumers to fill their cars, that cost also factors in in crude oil prices, refining costs, distribution costs, and taxes. Pump prices have ticked up to a national average of $2.94 today versus $2.82 one month ago, but they are down from $3.16 a year ago.
Meanwhile, in the energy services category, electricity prices shed 0.1% from the previous month, while utility gas services prices rose by 1% as cold weather shocks throughout the country saw both residential and commercial demand for natural gas soar.
Both electricity and utility gas saw large jumps upward year-on-year, increasing by 6.3% and 9.8%, respectively, as the explosive power demand from the data center buildout has sent energy costs soaring.
The US stock market opened in the red on Friday after a broad market sell-off as Wall Street digested a cooler-than-expected inflation reading.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) both shed roughly 0.4%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell roughly 0.2% the day after intense selling pressure on tech stocks.
Inflation cooled more than expected in January, data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed, as consumer prices increased 0.2% in January from a month earlier and 2.4% on an annual basis. So-called \\"core\\" CPI ticked up by 0.3% month-on-month and 2.5% year-on-year.
More than half of traders are now pricing in a 25-basis-point cut by June, but most bets still remain on two cuts by the end of 2026.
On the earnings front, Rivian (RIVN) shares jumped more than 23% following its fourth quarter earnings beat late Thursday, while Pinterest (PINS) shares shed more than 20% on a revenue miss and concerns about AI.
Consumer prices rose 0.2% in January over the previous month, according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday morning, cooling more than economists had expected. The inflation measure rose 2.4% year-on-year.
The so-called \\"core\\" consumer price index, which excludes the often volatile food and energy categories, rose by 0.3% from the previous month and 2.5% over the previous year.
The headline increases in inflation were just below economists' expectations of gains of 0.3% on a monthly basis and 2.5% on a yearly basis. January's core CPI readings were directly in line with expectations month-on-month and year-on-year.
The readings on inflation swung traders' outlook for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, now pricing in a 51% chance of at least one 25 basis-point cut by the Fed's June meeting. Though, traders remain broadly convinced the Fed will hold rates steady in its upcoming March meeting, with less than 10% pricing in a rate cut at that meeting.
DraftKings (DKNG) stock fell 17% before the bell on Friday after the US gambling company missed analyst expectations for this year's guidance as it steps up its investments in prediction markets.
Roku (ROKU) stock rose 15% during premarket hours after the streaming company beat analysts' estimates for fourth quarter earnings. Roku also issued strong guidance for the year.
Maplebear (CART), also known as Instacart, saw its stock jump by 12% before the bell today after beating analysts estimates for revenue, which rose 12% to $992 million. However, the group's fourth quarter earnings were dented by a $60 million settlement with the Federal Trade Commission amid claims that it used underhand tactics to raise costs for shoppers.
From Bloomberg:
Wall Street’s fears of business disruption caused by artificial intelligence are turning into a blessing for Asian stocks, fueling demand for the region’s leading chipmakers that dominate the industry’s supply chain.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has risen more than 12% in 2026, in contrast to losses in US benchmarks as shares were sold off on fears that AI models may threaten the business of software, legal and real estate service providers. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is down 0.2% for the year, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) gauge has lost around 2%.
The divergence underscores global funds’ shift of preference from AI pioneers burdened by massive spending toward hardware producers with strong pricing power, many of whom are in Asia. Surging memory chip prices have been a boon for the region’s heavyweights such as Samsung Electronics Co. (005930.KS, SSNLF), while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.’s (TSM, 2330.TW) irreplaceable role as the world’s leading contract chipmaker has provided support for Taiwanese stocks.
“The main worry of the US is hyperscaler spending money,” said Richard Tang, head of research Hong Kong at Julius Baer. “Most of Asia’s tech exposure is upstream. Whoever wins in the end, upstream will still collect revenue from downstream players.”
Read more here.
Rivian (RIVN) stock soared 19% during premarket hours on Friday following the release of better-than-expected fourth quarter results on Thursday.
Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian reports:
For the quarter, Rivian reported revenue of $1.286 billion versus $1.26 billion, per Bloomberg consensus estimates, down around 27% from a year ago. Rivian attributed the revenue declines to the loss of regulatory emissions credit sales, the expiration of the federal EV tax credit, and lower average selling prices.
The company posted an adjusted loss per share of $0.59 versus $0.69 expected, with an adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) loss of $465 million versus $568.2 million expected.
Rivian stock surged over 10% in after-hours trade.
Crucially, the company said its upcoming R2 midsize vehicle is targeting customer deliveries for the second quarter, after early manufacturing validation builds rolled off the assembly line in January.
And for a second quarter in a row, the company posted a gross profit of $120 million, broken down between a loss of $59 million for the automotive segment and a $179 million gain from software and services. Rivian said the jump in software and services profit is due to \\"vehicle architecture and software development services\\" stemming from its joint venture with Volkswagen (VOW3.DE).
Read the full story here.
Applied Materials (AMAT) stock climbed 11% during premarket hours on Friday after the semiconductor equipment maker beat Wall Street expectations on the top and bottom lines.
The after-hours reaction to Applied Materials' results added to the strong run for the stock in 2026. Year to date, shares are up 27%.
Reuters reports:
The company is also expected to cash in on a worldwide memory shortage, with memory providers boosting investment in increasing their manufacturing capacity.
Applied Materials expects second-quarter sales of about $7.65 billion, plus or minus $500 million, compared with estimates of $7.01 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
The company expects second-quarter adjusted profit of about $2.64 per share, plus or minus 20 cents, compared with estimates of profit of $2.28.
Read more here.
Pinterest stock sank 19% before the bell on Friday after forecasting first quarter revenue below analysts' estimates on Thursday.
Reuters reports:
The results underscore the image-sharing platform's ongoing struggle to compete for advertising dollars against deep-pocketed platforms, sending its shares down 12% in extended trading.
For the first quarter, the company sees revenue in the range of $951 million to $971 million, below the analysts' average estimate of $980.1 million, according to data compiled by LSEG.
The company's ended 2025 with 619 million global monthly active users, up from the 553 million it had reported in 2024, a sign that Pinterest's core product remains appealing to consumers seeking inspiration for everything from home decor to fashion and recipes.
Revenue for the fourth quarter grew 14% to $1.32 billion, largely in line with estimates of $1.33 billion.
Read more here.
Bloomberg reports:
After Beijing slammed them shut about a decade ago, the gates have flung open again for Chinese firms to go on overseas acquisition sprees.
In January alone, the volume of outbound mergers and acquisitions from Greater China approached $12 billion, the most for the first month of a year since 2017. The shopping list included high-profile names like German sports brand Puma SE and Canadian miner Allied Gold Corp.
The turnaround is gathering momentum after a prolonged lull that began in the mid to late 2010s, when China capped outbound investment to rein in exuberant spending. One particularly high-profile case was HNA Group Co., which went on a debt-fueled international binge into names such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Deutsche Bank AG before collapsing.
“We have seen a pickup in outbound M&A interest from China,” said Richard Griffiths, BNP Paribas SA’s head of M&A in Asia Pacific. “Many new situations are being evaluated at the moment and we expect more significant deals to be announced in 2026.”
Read more here.
Bloomberg reports:
Gold (GC=F) clawed back some losses after a sudden selloff in the previous session, with dip-buyers snapping up the metal ahead of key US inflation data.
Bullion rose as much as 1.4% on Friday, having lost 3.2% in the previous session – the biggest one-day fall in a week. That decline accompanied jitters on Wall Street, where prices buckled across asset classes on concern over the impact of AI on companies’ earnings. The pullback in gold may have been amplified by margin calls and algorithmic trading.
The selloff in US stocks spilled over into precious metals, as some investors with broad holdings were forced to sell commodities to cover margin calls, said Liu Shiyao, an analyst with Zijin Tianfeng Futures Co. “In many cases, investors hold these assets at the same time: when one side is sold off, the other faces redemption pressure,” she said. “However, the impact won’t be too significant. Gold is still in a consolidation phase.”
The pullback was likely intensified by selling from commodity trading advisers using computer models to bet on price moves, said Michael Ball, a macro strategist at Bloomberg.
Read more here.