Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slip as fallout from Trump's tariff reversal unsettles market

US stocks slid slightly below the flatline on Monday as investors grappled with the fallout from the Supreme Court's rebuff of President Trump's most sweeping tariffs, which has thrown major trade deals into doubt.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) both lost less than 0.1%, coming off a volatile but winning session on Friday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) saw the biggest loss, shedding roughly 0.1%.

Growing uncertainty about the global trade landscape is unsettling markets amid debate about Trump's next moves and reaction from countries that have signed US trade pacts.

The Supreme Court's invalidation of many US tariffs on Friday initially fueled trade hopes and buoyed stocks. But Wall Street gauges and the dollar (DX-Y.NYB) are starting the week on the back foot after Trump said Saturday that the US will lift the baseline tariff rate on imports to 15%, effective immediately.

In a strong response, the EU rejected any hike in tariffs, saying "a deal is a deal" and calling on Washington to clarify the steps it will take following the court rebuff. Meanwhile, the US customs agency said it will stop collecting the overturned tariffs as calculations suggest a $2 trillion hit to the federal budget. Refunds by the US to importers and the legal basis for Trump's new levies are other concerns on Wall Street.

Elsewhere in geopolitics, prospects for US-Iran nuclear talks are in focus, set to resume on Thursday as US forces swarm the Middle East. Oil prices (BZ=F, CL=F) climbed on Monday, after ending last week up more than 5%.

Looking ahead, AI chipmaker Nvidia's (NVDA) results on Wednesday are the earnings highlight as the season continues to wind down, and as AI disruption fears swirl. Salesforce (CRM) — whose stock was hit by those fears — reports the same day. Before that, investors get a litmus test for retail in Home Depot's (HD) quarterly update on Tuesday.

US stocks opened Monday's trading session on a mixed footing as Wall Street digested the Supreme Court's rebuff of President Trump's most sweeping tariffs, adding a new wave of uncertainty to global trade deals.

The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) both moved up less than 0.1% after initial losses, coming off a volatile but winning session on Friday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) remained below the flatl ine, shedding 0.1%.

Growing uncertainty about the global trade landscape is scrambling markets after the US Supreme Court's decision to strike down much of the president's tariff regime on Friday. The EU rejected any hike in tariffs, saying \\"a deal is a deal\\" and calling on Washington to clarify the steps it will take following the court rebuff.

AI chipmaker Nvidia's (NVDA) results on Wednesday take the earnings spotlight for the week, while Salesforce (CRM) — whose stock was hit by AI disruption fears — reports the same day. Before that, Home Depot (HD) will provide its quarterly update on Tuesday.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said in comments on Monday that his thinking on rate cuts will be determined by the state of the labor market.

“Assuming underlying inflation continues to signal we are close to our 2% goal, the key to setting appropriate policy will be my view of the labor market,” Waller said. “As things stand today, I rate these two possible outcomes as close to a coin flip,\\" Waller said in a speech on Monday in Washington at the National Association for Business Economics conference.

The Fed governor also cautioned that if the strong reading on the job market for January is revised lower — the Labor Department reported a gain of 130,000 jobs, more than in the previous nine months combined — that would reinforce January's rate cut and signal the need for another cut in March.

Waller dissented with the no-change vote at the Fed's January meeting, advocating instead for a quarter-point reduction in rates.

“If the labor market data for February are consistent with the stronger job creation and low unemployment rate initially reported in January, indicating that downside risks to the labor market have diminished, it may be appropriate to hold the FOMC’s policy rate at current levels and watch for continued progress on inflation and strength in the labor market,\\" Waller said.

Read the full story here.

The hedge funds that helped fuel a boom in US exchange-traded funds holding bitcoin (BTC-USD) beat a rapid retreat in recent months, according to new data.

Bloomberg reports:

Aggregate bitcoin ETF allocations among the largest hedge fund holders fell 28% from the third to the fourth quarter of 2025, according to data compiled by CF Benchmarks, a wholly-owned subsidiary of crypto exchange Kraken.

Bitcoin is down almost 50% from its October peak of over $126,000. The token slid as much as 4.8% in early Asia trading on Monday to nearly $64,300, its lowest level since Feb. 6, as fresh nervousness over US tariffs rippled through global markets.

The losses extend a prolonged selloff that began in October. Since then, with digital-asset prices sliding and yields on a once-lucrative trading strategy shrinking, fast-money investors have steadily cut exposure.

... The unwind is visible in regulatory filings. Brevan Howard overhauled its position in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), becoming the largest seller of the spot ETF in the fourth quarter. Its stake fell about 86% to 5.5 million shares, reducing the value of its spot position from about $2.4 billion to $275 million.

Part of the retreat reflects a simple shift in price momentum. Bitcoin has fallen alongside — and at times faster than — the macro risks it was meant to hedge, undermining the institutional pitch that it could offset inflation, currency debasement or equity stress.

But the pullback is also mechanical.

Read more here.

Samsung (005930.KS) is using the massive memory chip shortage to juice its margins. That could hurt smartphone archrival Apple (AAPL), notes Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez.

He writes:

For Korean tech giant Samsung (005930.KS) ... the AI era is proving to be a massive payday. The company's stock recently hit an all-time high, following reports that it's leveraging the chip shortage to aggressively raise prices on its next-generation HBM4 chips by up to 30%.

But in a twist of irony, Samsung could also be stung by the shortage like every other tech company.

In a note to clients, KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel argued that while this surge in pricing \\"sounds good\\" for Samsung's bottom line, it may also force the company to hike costs for its flagship smartphones, such as its upcoming Galaxy S26, by $70 to $140 just to cover the costs of the silicon inside.

Samsung's archrival Apple (AAPL), which also happens to be one of the firm's biggest customers, is also projecting it will face margin pressures due to the shortage.

The Cupertino, Calif.-based iPhone maker is deeply dependent on Samsung for about 60% of its memory components.

Nispel noted that while Apple might initially try to hold prices steady to steal market share from more expensive Samsung phones, it is a risky bet. And one that may be short-lived.

Read more here.

The Supreme Court's decision to strike down President Trump's \\"reciprocal\\" tariff authority sent European stocks lower and Indian stocks higher on Monday as the US's trade partners searched for a new status quo amid Trump's new tariff threats.

Following reports on Monday that the European Union may delay the ratification of its trade deal with the US, the pan-European Stoxx 600 (^STOXX) dropped 0.3%, while Germany's DAX (^GDAXI) fell 0.6%. The CAC (^FCHI) in Paris was 0.1% lower.

At the same time, Indian stock market indexes, the Nifty 50 (^NSEI) and the BSE Sensex (^BSESN), both gained 0.5%. Indian trade officials postponed a trip to the US and said they would reschedule their visit to firm up an interim agreement.

Bloomberg reports:

Now, whether a new status quo settles quickly will largely depend on what America’s trading partners do after administration officials called on them to honor prior trade pledges.

Any walk-back from prior agreements, especially given recent European pushback over Trump’s bid to gain control over Greenland, risks sparking a fresh round of brinkmanship and disruption for a world economy that has so far been muddling through Trump Trade War 2.0.

“Uncertainty is back, and given the latest muscle-flexing by European leaders, the risk of escalation is now higher than it was a year ago,” Carsten Brzeski and James Knightley at ING Groep NV wrote in a note. “Announcements since the Supreme Court’s ruling strongly confirm that Trump has no intention of removing his ‘most beautiful word’ from the English dictionary.”

Read more here.

Domino's (DPZ) posted mixed fourth quarter and fiscal 2025 results as the chain doubles down on growing sales, store count, and profits while consumers home in on value.

The pizza chain posted revenue of $1.54 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter on Monday morning. That was up 6.4% year over year and a tick above the $1.52 billion Wall Street forecast, per Bloomberg consensus data. The bump was driven by higher order volumes and an increase in the company's food basket pricing to stores.

Adjusted earnings came in at $5.35 per share, just below estimates of $5.37.

Shares in Domino's rose around 6% before the bell. The stock is down 16% over the past year, compared with the S&P 500's (^GSPC) 15% gain.

CEO Russell Weiner said the chain's \\"MORE strategy\\" delivered higher sales and profits.

He said in the release: \\"These strong results flowed through to increased franchisee profits, showcasing our ability to drive store level profitability while providing incredible value for our customers.\\"

US same-store sales grew 3.7%, above the 3.3% jump forecast, while international stores of 0.7% were lower than the expected 1.1% tick up.

For the fiscal year, revenue came in at $4.9 billion, alongside adjusted earnings of $17.57.

Same-store sales for US stores grew 3%, more than the 2.85% forecast. For the year, international stores' same-store sales growth missed expectations, rising 1.9% versus the estimated 2.14%.

In 2025, the company added 776 stores, slightly more than the Street anticipated, bringing the total to 22,142 globally.

Cancer therapy ​developer Arcellx (ACLX) stock soared 77% before the bell on Monday following the news that Gilead Sciences (GILD) will be acquiring the company for $7.8 billion.

Fortune Brands Innovations (FBIN) stock rose 4% during premarket hours on Monday after investor Ed Garden built a stake in the company, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Domino's Pizza (DPZ) stock rose 4% before the bell on Monday after beating analysts expectations for revenue, but falling short on earnings.

Novo Nordisk (NVO) stock sank 13% before the bell on Monday after its next-generation obesity drug CagriSema ‌was less effective than Eli Lilly's tirzepatide ‌in a head-to-head trial.

Eli Lilly (LLY) stock rose 4% following the news.

Reuters reports:

The trial was designed to show CagriSema was at least as effective as tirzepatide in reducing weight, but ‌failed to meet ⁠that goal, Novo said in a statement.

The outcome is a blow to Novo ⁠Nordisk, which is fighting to regain its lost first-mover advantage in the lucrative obesity treatment ​market, where ​demand for drugs with ​higher efficacy is ‌surging.

Novo Nordisk said CagriSema achieved a 23% reduction in body weight over 84 weeks, compared to 25.5% for Eli Lilly's tirzepatide in the trial.

Read more here.

The fallout from President Trump's tariff defeat on Friday has gone far and wide, and the markets have started to react to the news.

Stocks: US stock futures slipped on Monday as Wall Street digested the latest news on Trump's tariff defeat. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) dropped 0.3%. Contracts on the S&P 500 (ES=F) fell roughly 0.3%, while those on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) sank 04%.

Chinese stocks got a boost from tariffs, as investors weighed the impact on the current deal the US has with China and whether China's leader Xi Jinping would seek to renegotiate it. The Hang Seng index (^HSI) closed 2% up on Monday.

US dollar: The dollar (DX=F) fell on Monday, trading 0.1% lower.

Gold: Gold (GC=F) futures rose 1%, and silver (SI=F) gained 4% as investors poured into safe-haven assets following Trump's tariff defeat.

Bitcoin: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) fell below $66,000 and was down 3% on Monday.

Oil: Brent (BZ=F) and West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) both fell 0.7% on Monday.

Here are some assorted thoughts from Wall Street on the Supreme Court's tariff ruling on Friday and President Trump's 15% global tariff imposed in reaction.

Deutsche Bank:

\\"Looking ahead, the reality is that the 15% tariff imposed under Section 122 can only remain in place for 150 days (late July), after which Congressional approval would be required to extend it. Section 122 was designed as a temporary tool to address emergency balance of payments issues and would likely face further legal challenges if rolled over repeatedly.

\\"That raises a key political question: will a small number of Republicans in either chamber be reluctant to support what could be framed as an extension of a consumer tax hike just three and a half months before the midterm elections? At that point, the administration faces a binary choice: try to secure an extension or allow the tariff to lapse.

The latter appears the more likely outcome. In that scenario, the administration would probably pivot to other legal authorities — most notably Section 232 (national security) or Section 301 (unfair trade practices) — to re-establish a more durable tariff regime. While the groundwork for such a move has almost certainly been laid, these measures are narrower in scope and would themselves be vulnerable to legal challenge.\\"

Goldman Sachs:

\\"Imports from countries that will experience meaningful tariff reductions from the latest policy changes are likely to pick up in coming months, but the impact on GDP should be largely offset by increased inventory accumulation and consumption, reduced imports from other countries through which trade had been rerouted, and small reductions in imports from countries whose tariff rate has risen.

We are launching our 2026Q1 GDP tracking estimate at 3.4%, though this incorporates a 1.3 percentage point contribution from the end of the government shutdown in 2025Q4. We continue to forecast 2.5% GDP growth for 2026 Q4/Q4, a 0.3 percentage point acceleration from 2025 Q4/Q4 that partly reflects the fading drag from tariffs giving way to a boost from tax cuts.\\"

Jefferies:

\\"Retailers face decisions around whether to reinvest tariff savings into lower prices, allow margins to expand, or redirect savings into the business. We expect outcomes to vary by category, competitive intensity, and brand positioning. Reduced tariff pressure could allow retailers to revisit suppliers or sourcing regions that had become less economical, potentially improving assortment, innovation, or supply chain efficiency.\\"

The European Commission has published a reply to Trump's 15% global tariffs, issued following the Supreme Court ruling that Trump did not act with legal authority when shaking up global trade at the start of his second term.

Reuters reports:

The European Commission demanded on Sunday that the United States stick to the terms of an EU-U.S. ‌trade deal reached last year, after the U.S. Supreme Court struck ‌down Donald Trump's global tariffs and he responded with new levies across the board.

The Commission, which ​negotiates trade policy on behalf of the 27 EU member states, said Washington must provide \\"full clarity\\" on the steps it intends to take following the court ruling.

After the court struck down Trump's global tariffs on Friday, the U.S. president announced temporary, ‌across-the-board tariffs of 10%, which ⁠he then hiked to 15% a day later.

\\"The current situation is not conducive to delivering 'fair, balanced, and mutually beneficial' transatlantic trade and ⁠investment, as agreed to by both sides\\" in the joint statement setting out the terms of last year's trade agreement, the Commission said. \\"A deal is a deal.\\"

The comments ​were ​far more strongly worded than the Commission's ​initial response on Friday, which had ‌said only that it was studying the outcome of the Supreme Court decision and keeping in contact with the U.S. administration.

Read more here.

Bloomberg reports:

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) slid in early Asia trading on Monday, roiled by fresh nervousness over the status of US tariffs.

The original digital asset slid as much as 4.8% to nearly $64,300, its lowest since Feb. 6. Other tokens fared worse, with Ether (ETH-USD), the second-largest token, retreating 5.2%.

The losses come after US officials on Sunday said trade deals already negotiated with partners remain in place, despite a Supreme Court ruling that struck down President Donald Trump’s use of emergency authority to impose tariffs.

In a social-media post on Saturday, Trump said he would increase the global 10% tariff he announced one day earlier to 15%, stirring up more economic turbulence. The dollar and US stock futures dropped in early trading on Monday, with contracts for the S&P 500 down 0.8% and the Nasdaq 100 down 1%. A gauge of Asian equities climbed 1%.

Read more here.

Bloomberg reports:

Gold (GC=F) climbed after a run of three weekly gains, as heightened uncertainty over US trade policy unsettled markets and hurt the dollar.

Bullion rose as much as 1.4% toward $5,180 an ounce. President Donald Trump said Saturday he would impose a global tariff of 15% to preserve measures after the Supreme Court ruled against his use of emergency powers to set duties. The weaker dollar made the metal cheaper for many buyers.

The court ruling has cast doubt over deals the US has negotiated with major trading partners. The European Parliament’s trade chief said he’ll propose delaying ratification of an agreement with Washington until there’s more clarity, Indian officials will postpone a trip to the US, while a member of Japan’s ruling party called the situation “a real mess.”

Read more here.

Bloomberg reports:

Blue Owl Capital Inc.’s co-chief reeled off all the times he'd seen this type of fear before. Covid. Silicon Valley Bank's collapse. Liberation Day.

Marc Lipschultz was addressing analysts on the 11th straight day of losses for the firm’s shares, the worst streak since Blue Owl went public almost five years ago. Just weeks earlier, investors yanked more than 15% of net assets from one of the money manager’s tech-focused funds.

But as Lipschultz saw it, this was par for the course when markets get jittery. Some clients in private credit funds like theirs ask for their cash back in times like these. The firm was handling this latest bout of worry just as it had in the past.

It appears different now. Blue Owl last week permanently shut the gates on one of those funds — preventing investors from withdrawing their cash every three months as they’d previously been allowed — and began selling assets to return investor capital.

It’s the latest sign of tumult in a $1.8 trillion market stricken with worry about overspending on artificial intelligence, the technology’s disruptive power and lending standards more broadly. And it’s evoking comparisons to the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis.

Read more here.

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