LendingTree (NASDAQ:TREE) Surprises With Strong Q4 CY2025, Stock Jumps 14.7%
Financial marketplace platform LendingTree (NASDAQ:TREE) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 22.3% year on year to $319.7 million. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($321 million at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 16.5% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP loss of $0.39 per share was significantly below analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy LendingTree? Find out in our full research report.
Revenue: $319.7 million vs analyst estimates of $286.8 million (22.3% year-on-year growth, 11.5% beat)
Adjusted EPS: -$0.39 vs analyst estimates of $0.87 (significant miss)
Adjusted EBITDA: $36.67 million vs analyst estimates of $30.68 million (11.5% margin, 19.5% beat)
Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $321 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $275.6 million
EBITDA guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $155 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $143.9 million
Operating Margin: 7%, in line with the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $510.9 million
Using the same comparison model that revolutionized travel booking, LendingTree (NASDAQ:TREE) operates an online platform that connects consumers with financial service providers across mortgages, personal loans, credit cards, insurance, and other financial products.
A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Regrettably, LendingTree’s sales grew at a sluggish 4.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last three years. This was below our standard for the consumer internet sector and is a tough starting point for our analysis.
This quarter, LendingTree reported robust year-on-year revenue growth of 22.3%, and its $319.7 million of revenue topped Wall Street estimates by 11.5%. Company management is currently guiding for a 33.9% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.
Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 3.5% over the next 12 months, similar to its three-year rate. This projection doesn't excite us and suggests its newer products and services will not lead to better top-line performance yet.
ONE MORE THING: The $21 AI Application Stock Wall Street Forgot. While Wall Street obsesses over who’s building AI, one company is already using it to print money. And nobody’s paying attention.
AI chip stocks trade at ridiculous valuations. This company processes a trillion consumer signals monthly using AI and trades at a third of the price. The gap won’t last. The institutions will figure it out. You need to see this first. Read the FREE Report Before They Notice.
Although EBITDA is undoubtedly valuable for assessing company performance, we believe cash is king because you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.
LendingTree has shown decent cash profitability, giving it some flexibility to reinvest or return capital to investors. The company’s free cash flow margin averaged 5.8% over the last two years, slightly better than the broader consumer internet sector.
Taking a step back, we can see that LendingTree’s margin expanded by 3.7 percentage points over the last few years. This is encouraging because it gives the company more optionality.
We were impressed by LendingTree’s optimistic EBITDA guidance for next quarter, which blew past analysts’ expectations. We were also excited its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. Zooming out, we think this was a good print with some key areas of upside. The stock traded up 14.7% to $43.29 immediately after reporting.
LendingTree put up rock-solid earnings, but one quarter doesn’t necessarily make the stock a buy. Let’s see if this is a good investment. If you’re making that decision, you should consider the bigger picture of valuation, business qualities, as well as the latest earnings. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.