Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq waver after PPI inflation comes in much hotter than expected

US stocks stalled on Thursday as Wall Street digested a much hotter-than-expected PPI inflation print, souring optimism around a large September rate cut.

The major gauges wavered for much of the session, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) down 0.2% and the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) hovering near the flatline. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was also little changed.

July's Producer Price Index (PPI) came in well above expectations, with month-over-month prices rising 0.9% compared to expectations of 0.2%. On an annual basis, prices rose 3.3%, the most since February. "Core" producer prices, which strip out the cost of food and energy, saw the largest increase in three years.

Euphoria over a possible September rate cut had swept Wall Street over the past two sessions after July's Consumer Price Index report showed inflation rose as expected, but not dramatically. Traders had fully priced in a rate cut at the Fed's next meeting, even as some Fed policymakers continue to urge patience.

By Thursday, the vast majority of bets were still on a cut, but nearly 10% of traders were pricing in a rate hold. Meanwhile, bets on a "jumbo" 50-basis-point cut evaporated.

The inflation shock sapped some of the enthusiasm out of a roaring market this week. Stocks extended their rally on Wednesday, pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to consecutive record highs. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) got a boost from mounting rate-cut bets, too, reaching a new record high Wednesday evening before rolling over.

Friday's retail sales reading will serve as this week's final key economic data point.

In corporate news, cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 10% on Thursday, hovering around $75, about double its IPO price of $37.

Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports:

Cisco (CSCO) is betting on the AI boom as it faces potential pressures in its networking and security units.

“AI is really the biggest driver in terms of the overall umbrella,” CFO Mark Patterson said on Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid.

Cisco reported stronger-than-expected earnings and guidance. Q4 revenue rose 8% year over year to $14.7 billion, surpassing the $14.63 billion estimate. Adjusted EPS increased 14% year to $0.99, beating the $0.98 consensus, according to Bloomberg data.

For fiscal year 2026, Cisco is expecting revenue between $59 billion and $60 billion, with adjusted EPS of $4.00 to $4.06.

Read more here.

Netflix (NFLX) shares rose about 3% on Thursday after the streamer announced it had doubled its overall ad commitments during this year’s US Upfront and finalized deals with all major holding companies and independent agencies.

Amy Reinhard, president of Netflix advertising, said the results were in line with expectations, with brands eager to align with the platform’s upcoming slate, which includes the final season of \\"Stranger Things\\" and new seasons of \\"Bridgerton,\\" \\"Emily in Paris,\\" and \\"Nobody Wants This.\\"

\\"We are committed to building a long-lasting ads business that not only drives impactful return on investment for our clients but also offers an entertaining and relevant experience for our members around the world,\\" Reinhard said in a company blog post.

Netflix executives are doubling down on their ad-supported tier as a key engine for future growth. On last month’s second quarter earnings call, CFO Spencer Neumann said ad sales are showing \\"nice momentum,\\" with the company expecting ad revenue to roughly double to about $3 billion in 2025.

The push comes as Netflix continues to grow its ad tier audience, which hit 94 million global monthly active users, up from 70 million in November. Earlier this year, the streamer hiked prices across several US plans, including its ad-supported offering, which is still among the cheapest options at $7.99 per month.

Netflix co-CEO Greg Peters noted that retention remains \\"stable and industry-leading\\" while overall engagement remains strong. Recent price hikes, he said, have performed in line with expectations, reinforcing Netflix’s confidence in its monetization strategy even as the company keeps a close eye on broader consumer sentiment.

Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) gained more than 20% on Thursday, occupying a spot on the Yahoo Finance Trending Tickers page.

The iBuyer platform's stock has gone from under $1 in July to more than $4.80 at the height of the meme craze last month.

On Thursday, shares hovered just below $3 each, but they were still far below their all-time high of $39.24, reached in February 2021.

Pras Subramanian reports:

Monterey Car Week, now bigger than any car or auto show in the world, is here once again.

Last year more than 100,000 attendees came to California for the week long festivities that culminates with the prestigious Pebble Beach Concours d'Elegance car competition on Aug. 17. No doubt the cars will be epic, and so will the insane traffic snaking along Pebble Beach’s downright beautiful 17-mile drive.

Covering car week is a tough assignment, but someone at Yahoo Finance has to do it. The days (and nights) are jam-packed with classic car auctions, new car reveals, and a ton of automotive news and CEO talk.

So, with that said, here are the three biggest things to watch this week from California.

Read more here.

Yahoo Finance's Robert Powell reports:

Many experts are sounding the alarm that Social Security's Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033. If Congress does not act, it will only be able to pay about 77% of promised benefits, according to the latest Social Security Trustees report.

Social Security becoming insolvent would create a crisis for a lot of low-income seniors who depend on that income, Andrew Biggs, author of \\"The Real Retirement Crisis,\\" said in a recent episode of the Decoding Retirement podcast.

However, he added that it's \\"very, very unlikely to happen.\\"

Read more here.

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) fell 3% on Thursday, retreating from its record high after hotter-than-expected inflation soured expectations of a large rate cut in September. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated the US wouldn't buy any more tokens for its reserve, but it wouldn't sell any either.

On Wednesday, bitcoin touched an all-time high record, surpassing $123,000 per token. Crypto rolled over after July's producer price index came in much higher than expected.

During an interview with Fox Business this morning, Bessent said US reserves of bitcoin amount to around $15 billion or $20 billion at today's prices.

\\"We've also started to get into the 21st century — a bitcoin strategic reserve. We're not going to be buying that, but we are going to use confiscated assets and continue to build that up. We're going to stop selling that,\\" he said.

Expectations of Fed rate cuts, coupled with heavy purchases from corporate treasurys, have driven up the price of the asset this year.

The cryptocurrency has gained 25% year to date and has rallied roughly 57% since the April lows.

Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports:

Amazon (AMZN)'s next big bet on groceries could fortify its dominance in online retail.

The company said on Wednesday that adding groceries to your same-day delivery order is now available in 1,000 cities, with the goal of reaching 2,300 cities by the end of 2025.

\\"We believe the expansion of Same-Day delivery for fresh perishable groceries will support Amazon's continued share gains across US e-commerce despite increased competition,\\" JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth wrote in a new note. His team reiterated the stock as its \\"Best Idea\\" and maintained a $265 price target.

Read more here.

Nvidia (NVDA) stock climbed nearly 1% Thursday morning after the company told Barron's and Seeking Alpha that its Rubin chip is \\"on track\\" after an analyst at Fubon Research indicated the GPU could be delayed.

The company did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's request for comment.

“We think it is very likely that Rubin will be delayed,\\" Fubon Research analyst Sherman Shang wrote in a research note seen by the outlets. \\"The first version of Rubin was already taped out in late June, but Nvidia is now redesigning the chip to better match AMD’s upcoming MI450.\\"

\\"We think the next tape out schedule will be in late September or October, and based on the tape out schedule, the Rubin volume will be limited in 2026,\\" Shang said.

Nvidia said the report was incorrect in emailed statements to the outlets. Rubin is Nvidia's next-generation AI chip architecture, the successor to Blackwell, and it was unveiled during the company's annual GTC conference in 2025.

C3.ai stock sank 3.5% Thursday, putting shares down more than 20% over the past five trading sessions.

The AI software company's shares have suffered since releasing preliminary results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026, which ended July 31. The company estimated last Friday that it will see a quarterly loss of $57.7 million to $57.9 million on revenue in the range of $70.2 million to $70.4 million. C3 will report its full results on Sept. 3.

Its preliminary results were \\"well below\\" consensus estimates on Wall Street and the company's previous guidance for a loss of $23.5 million to $33.5 million on revenue of $100 million to $109 million, JPMorgan analyst Brian Essex wrote in a note to clients Monday.

C3 has been mired in controversy over the last several years. In 2022, investors sued the company and its founder and former CEO, Tom Siebel, for misrepresenting the size of a sales team related to its largest partnership with energy company Baker Hughes (BKR). In 2023, short-selling firm Spruce Point Management alleged the company showed \\"signs of problematic financial reporting and accounting.\\" Then last month, Siebel stepped down from the role of CEO due to an autoimmune disease diagnosis.

Since C3 released its preliminary results last Friday, four investment firms, including Oppenheimer and DA Davidson, have downgraded C3 stock to Market Perform and Sell ratings.

Wedbush maintained its Outperform rating on the stock but lowered its price target to $23 from $35.

\\"This was a brutal quarter and if C3 cannot turn this around darker days could be ahead,\\" Dan Ives wrote in a note to clients Monday.

Yahoo Finance's Brooke DiPalma reports:

The second quarter was a tough period for some of America's favorite office lunch spots.

Cava (CAVA) stock fell 16% on Wednesday after the company reported a larger-than-expected growth slowdown in the second quarter. Peers like Sweetgreen (SG) and Chipotle (CMG) both reported a second straight quarter of same-store sales declines in Q2 as demand for the trusty lunch bowls of choice for America's white-collar workforce waned.

\\"We do see what I would classify as a macroeconomic fog around the consumer that they're trying to navigate through, and that has the consumer less front-footed, less ebullient, less forward-leaning than they were, say, this time last year,\\" Cava CEO Brett Schulman told Yahoo Finance on Wednesday.

Read more here.

US stocks sank Thursday at the market open, after the latest Producer Price Index reading showed wholesale inflation climbing much more than expected — a negative sign for hopes of a Fed rate cut in September.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) sank more than 0.4%, while the benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell over 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) lost 0.25%.

The Producer Price Index — a measure of wholesale inflation that tracks changes in the selling prices of US producers of goods and services — rose 0.9% in July, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday, more than the 0.2% expected by analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. That was the biggest jump since June 2022.

That's after the PPI was unchanged in June and advanced a more modest 0.4% in May. Driving the increase in July was a rise in prices for final demand services, or services sold by businesses, which climbed 1.1% — the largest jump since March 2022.

Producers also saw higher prices of raw materials businesses use to make other products, which rose 1.8%, led by a jump in prices for food and animal feed (in particular, the price of raw milk soared 9.1%). Still, that was smaller than the 2.6% rise in June.

Read more here.

Thursday's hot PPI reading has shifted bets on the Fed's next move a bit. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, a cut is no longer fully priced in.

Yesterday's odds:

Hold: 0%

25-point cut: 94.3%

50-point \\"jumbo\\" cut: 5.7%

Today's odds (as of 9 a.m. ET):

Hold: 5.5%

25-point cut: 94.5%

So the bets on a jumbo cut have in effect switched places with holding steady.

Here's a look at the top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance this morning:

Bullish (BLSH): The cryptocurrency exchange operator's stock rose 5% in premarket trading after it posted an 83% gain in its first day of trading. The stock saw gains as high as 215% on Wednesday after it opened for trade at $90. You can read more about the Bullish IPO here.

JD.com (JD): Shares were up 0.2% after the Chinese e-commerce company reported that net income fell by more than 50% year over year amid new investments into the competitive food delivery space in China. Revenue of 356.66 billion yuan ($49.73 billion) beat estimates, however.

Deere (DE): Shares of the farm equipment maker fell 5% as quarterly sales fell 9% from a year ago. Deere also narrowed its full-year profit forecast, and profits for the third quarter came in lighter than expected.

Cisco (CSCO): The networking giant reported earnings that barely beat estimates and results that showed Cisco benefiting from a boom in AI demand. Still, the stock dropped 1.6% in premarket trading.

Check out live coverage of corporate earnings here.

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) saw modest gains to trade at $120,807 on Thursday morning, but the crypto was about 2% off its record high of $123,500 on Wednesday.

As Yahoo Finance's Ines Ferré detailed, inflows into spot exchange-traded funds and public companies adding bitcoin to their balance sheets have been key drivers of this year’s token rally. Strategists also point to the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance as a major catalyst.

Meanwhile, ethereum (ETH-USD) prices traded near record levels, climbing 0.5% on Thursday morning to $4,722 per token, just shy of its 2021 record level of around $4,800.

\\"We have stated multiple times we believe Ethereum is the biggest macro trade over the next 10-15 years,\\" Fundstrat head of research Tom Lee wrote in a note on Wednesday.

Yahoo Finance's Hamza Shaban reports:

The market keeps pushing higher. But does that also mean speculation is running rampant without the support of fundamentals?

A surprising survey from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed risk appetite actually decreased in August, highlighting flagging investor sentiment and a return to levels of risk avoidance last seen during the \\"Liberation Day\\" doldrums of April.

But from the perspective of Wall Street bulls, the languishing mood reflected a moment to regroup and a base from which investors could build the next rally.

Even with fresh highs and the idea of the S&P crossing 7,000 back on the table, the current rush hasn't hit a dangerously speculative level, according to analysis by DataTrek co-founder Nicholas Colas. By using S&P 500 sector correlations to the index as a sign of near-term peaks in investor confidence, Colas accurately called the tops in 2023 and 2024, as well as February 2025. \\"History suggests that we are heading towards an unhealthy level of investor optimism but are not there just yet,\\" Colas wrote in a note to clients this week.

Read more here.

Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 9); Producer Price Index, (July);

Earnings: JD.com (JD), Deere & Company (DE), Advanced Auto Parts (AAP), Birkenstock (BIRK), Applied Materials (AMAT), Nucor (NUE)

Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning:

These stock market all-time highs aren't quite frothy

117-year high at busiest port in the US

Earnings: Foxconn beats on AI demand, Deere profit falls

Bullish stock tops $75 after strong IPO debut

US oil producers say OPEC+ 'price war' will halt shale boom

Rate cut next month doesn't seem warranted: Fed's Daly

Trump's Treasury set to decide fate of of wind, solar projects

Trump-fueled crypto frenzy sparks rush to Wall Street IPOs

'Tesla shame' bypasses Norway as sales jump despite Musk's politics

When Amazon (AMZN) goes big on something, usually the stock prices of its competitors get beaten up.

The latest example came on Wednesday

Amazon announced plans to expand its 1,000-city fresh and perishable same-day grocery delivery to 2,300 cities by year-end. This is a huge deal for the grocery industry. Albertson's (ACI) and Kroger (KR) — aka traditional grocers — saw their share prices fall.

I think this is a big deal for the industry and for Amazon. The impact of Amazon's move won't be felt overnight, but just like the company's impact on department stores in recent years, the aftershocks will be felt over time.

Evercore ISI analyst Michael Montani with some good thoughts this morning:

\\"While Amazon’s actions increase competitive intensity, we see the change as incremental in what remains a relatively rational competitive backdrop. Consumers should win as we believe traditional grocers (and some mass players) will likely respond by reducing or eliminating their own delivery fees over time.

Membership programs like Kroger Boost and Albertsons FreshPass take on an ever more important function for driving loyalty and eliminating delivery fees. We see a parallel to what happened to the traditional curbside pickup fee 3-5 years ago, namely it went away. Bigger picture, we see three mega themes playing out to shape grocery into the second half of 2025 – a) value seeking given that the elevated spread between grocery and restaurant pricing trade down into food at home should persist, b) healthy eating – demographic shifts, social media and even MAHA should combine to keep better for you products growing at around 3-4% vs. the 2.5-3% we consider normal for the broader grocery market, and c) multichannel as evidenced by our latest eCommerce survey consumers continue to prioritize the convenience of multichannel when considering where to shop in the future.\\"

Cisco (CSCO) is always a tricky play around its earnings report.

The company isn't a fast grower, and what the Street focuses on tends to shift from quarter to quarter. Sometimes it's profit margins, sometimes it's product orders, sometimes it's the outlook.

Going through the latest, I don't hate the quarter and outlook. Gross margins were up across the board, and the AI narrative and numbers were solid as well. There was some weakness in the security business, as expected, but the demand drivers out there suggest new full-year guidance could be conservative.

\\"We think investors should look past Public Sector weakness, which likely hurt Security growth, given the opportunity around Hyperscaler/Enterprise AI, Neoclouds, and Sovereign could quickly offset the weakness. We continue to like Cisco for these drivers of growth, and when paired with a mix shift toward software/subscription over time, healthy free cash flow growth, and shareholder returns, we believe a premium to historical valuations is warranted,\\" KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel said.

I am live on Opening Bid today around 9:40 a.m. ET with Cisco's new CFO Mark Patterson. So we'll get to pull apart the numbers and guidance further!

Yahoo Finance's breaking news reporter Jake Conley looks into the Bullish (BLSH) stock market debut.

Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish (BLSH) rose 8% on Thursday before the bell, reaching $75, doubling its IPO price of $37 and valuing the company at more than $10 billion.

Still, this marked around a 16% drop from where the stock opened for trade.

Bullish stock opened for trade at $90 near 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, and the stock traded hands as high as $118 per share shortly after, a more than 215% gain. The stock was halted for trade due to volatility at least twice within the first few minutes of trading.

The company, which operates a crypto exchange and owns the prominent trade publication CoinDesk, priced its IPO at $37 per share on Tuesday, above the $32 to $33 range the company had expected in its second shot at making a public market debut.

Bullish began its IPO processes looking for a price between $28 to $31 per share. At 30 million shares offered, the IPO price saw Bullish raise $1.1 billion and value the fintech company at $5.41 billion.

Bullish first attempted to go public via a SPAC merger in 2021 that would have valued the company at $9 billion, but the deal fell through after regulatory scrutiny and Bullish withdrew its registration.

Read more here

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